Select Trend Chart:
Chart Time Period: All
Cases by Date of Report: The plot and corresponding numbers show predicted new cases per day. The green region of the graph shows the in-sample predictions that the model has in the past 170 days. This is used for validation purposes in terms of how good the model is in predicting past daily cases. The orange region shows in-sample estimates of new cases in the most recent 10 days which may be susceptible to data delays or adjustments. The purple region shows the forecasted new cases for the next 7 days, which shows the possible direction of new cases based on the analysis of the most recent 180 days of data. The plot also shows 20% (darkest), 50% (darker) and 90% (dark) credible intervals, which shows the chance that cases will have those range of values.
The Australian Government, through the Australian Embassy in the Philippines and the Australia Awards and Alumni Engagement Program - Philippines (AAAEP-P), supported this venture through its Alumni Grants Scheme initiative. The Alumni Grants Scheme provides members of the Australia Global Alumni community and other Australian Government program alumni the opportunity to help respond to the emerging needs of the Philippines through grants for development projects and research.